ODM risks political collapse without presidential candidate, warns Poghisio

Former Senate Majority Leader Samuel Poghisio has issued a stern warning that the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) could slide into political obscurity if it fails to present a presidential candidate in the upcoming 2027 general election.
During an interview on a local television station on Monday, 28 July 2025, Poghisio expressed concern over what he described as growing dissatisfaction within ODM, particularly among its younger leadership. These emerging voices within the party are reportedly frustrated with its lack of a clear direction and ambiguity surrounding its presidential ambitions.
“The younger officials of ODM are trying to tell Raila that if we continue in this direction, we’ll have no party. Our party will decimate,” Poghisio warned.
According to Poghisio, the absence of a presidential candidate would fracture ODM’s traditional support base and could lead to the migration of party loyalists to rival political formations. This, he argued, would weaken ODM’s parliamentary strength and national relevance.
“If you don’t have a presidential candidate, your people scatter into other parties. You end up with fewer MPs, and your national influence collapses,” he added.
Poghisio’s remarks come amid mounting speculation about internal divisions within ODM. His views echoed those of Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua, who recently suggested that the party is struggling to maintain unity and coherence.
Notably, regions that have historically offered ODM unwavering support, such as Western Kenya, are now reportedly showing signs of disengagement. Poghisio pointed out that the political grip the party once held in these areas is weakening, further indicating a loss of confidence among long-time backers.
“Western Kenya, once a solid base for Raila, is now unsure. The split Gachagua mentioned is already being felt,” Poghisio noted.
Highlighting the ideological foundation of ODM, Poghisio said the party’s influence has always stemmed from its robust leadership and its role as a vocal opposition force. Deviating from this identity, he warned, could cost the party its grassroots appeal.
ODM was never a follower party. The day it becomes one, the people who supported its activist roots will walk away.”
The former senator urged ODM’s leadership, particularly Raila Odinga, to reflect on the party’s legacy and chart a decisive path forward. He emphasised that clarity and conviction are essential if the party hopes to maintain its standing in national politics.
“Raila is wise. He knows what’s at stake. ODM must stand firm or risk becoming irrelevant,” Poghisio concluded.
As the 2027 elections approach, the political future of ODM remains uncertain, with analysts and supporters alike waiting to see whether the party will rise to the occasion or fade from prominence.